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The Importance of the 10-Year Average in Understanding the Housing Market

The housing market is a dynamic and complex ecosystem influenced by a multitude of factors, ranging from economic conditions and interest rates to government policies and local supply and demand. As prospective homebuyers, sellers, investors, and policymakers navigate this intricate landscape, one invaluable tool emerges as a guiding light: the 10-year average.

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REBGV – The Million Dollar Wall | The Lede | 004

“Affordability” is a term that has become increasingly prevalent in discussions surrounding housing and real estate over the past decade. Whether you have personal experiences or professional involvement in these areas, you are likely familiar with the complexities associated with this loaded term.

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REBGV – Rate hikes and the impact on the Vancouver market | The Lede | 003

Andrew Lis, Director of economics and data analytics for the REBGV, has transformed the data by indexing it to an initial value to compare different cycles over time. By analyzing historical tightening cycles and their impact on sales and prices, Lis predicts that sales might return to normal in about 12 months, while prices could be back to normal in a little over 6 months if the current cycle tracks the ’82 cycle. However, he cautions that anything can happen.

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